Efficiency of a wide-area survey in achieving short- and long-term warning for small impactors     

Davide Farnocchia  Fabrizio Bernardi  Giovanni B. Valsecchi 《Icarus》2012,219(1):41-47

We consider a network of telescopes capable of scanning all the observable sky each night and targeting Near-Earth objects (NEOs) in the size range of the Tunguska-like asteroids, from 160 m down to 10 m. We measure the performance of this telescope network in terms of the time needed to discover at least 50% of the impactors in the considered population with a warning time large enough to undertake proper mitigation actions. The warning times are described by a trimodal distribution and the telescope network has a 50% probability of discovering an impactor of the Tunguska class with at least one week of advance already in the first 10 yr of operations of the survey. These results suggest that the studied survey would be a significant addition to the current NEO discovery efforts.  相似文献   

Subsidence history from a backstripping analysis of the Permo‐Mesozoic succession of the Central Southern Alps (Northern Italy)     

Fabrizio Berra  Eugenio Carminati 《Basin Research》2010,22(6):952-975

Seven tectonic subsidence curves, based on outcrop data, have been calculated in order to constrain the geodynamic evolution of the Permian–Mesozoic sedimentary succession (up to 10 km thick) of the Central Southern Alps basin (Italy). The analysis of the tectonic subsidence curves, covering a time span of about 200 Ma, allowed us to quantify the subsidence rates, to document the activity of syndepositional fault systems and calculate their slip rates. Different stages, in terms of duration and magnitude of subsidence‐uplift trends, have been identified in the evolution of the basin. The fault activity, reconstructed by comparing subsidence curves from adjacent sectors, resulted as highly variable both temporally and spatially. Strike‐slip tectonics was coeval to Permian sedimentation, as suggested by the strong differences in the subsidence rates in the sections. The evolution and subsidence rates suggest a continental shelf deposition from Early Triassic to Carnian, when subsidence came to a stop. A rapid resumption of subsidence is observed from the Norian, with a subsidence pulse in the Late Norian, followed by the regional uplift, in the Late Rhaetian. The following Early Jurassic subsidence is characterized by tectonic subsidence similar to that of the Norian. The Norian and Early Jurassic pulses were characterized by the highest slip rates along growth faults and are identified as two distinct tectonic events. The Norian–Rhaetian event is tentatively related to transtensional tectonics whereas the Early Jurassic event is related to crustal extension. The Early Jurassic subsidence records a shift in space an time of the beginning of the extensional stage, from Late Hettangian to the east to Late Pliensbachian–Toarcian to the west. From the Toarcian to the Aptian, the curves are compatible with regional thermal subsidence, later followed (Albian–Cenomanian) by uplift pulses in a retrobelt foreland basin (from Cenomanian onward).  相似文献   

Probabilistic seismic demand model for nonstructural components          下载免费PDF全文

Andrea Lucchini  Paolo Franchin  Fabrizio Mollaioli 《地震工程与结构动力学》2016,45(4):599-617

Past earthquakes have shown the importance for critical facilities to remain functional during seismic events. In the performance assessment of these facilities, it is therefore essential to accurately evaluate the seismic demand of nonstructural components. Evaluation of these components is also important when estimation of nonstructural repair costs is a concern. In this paper, the use of a multivariate demand model for nonstructural components is proposed, in which demand is expressed in terms of both interstory drifts and floor acceleration spectra. A model is built using statistics of the demand vector derived from the results of a limited number of inelastic response history analyses of a structure. The model is then used to simulate any number of additional realizations of the demand vector required for an accurate estimation of the probability of functionality loss. A new proposal for a predictive equation to generate approximate realizations of floor response spectra is presented. A reinforced concrete frame is selected as an illustrative example to show the implementation of the probabilistic seismic demand model and to evaluate the proposed predictive equation for the floor response spectra. The results of the case study are used to demonstrate the importance of accounting for the correlation among the demand parameters when realizations of the seismic demand of nonstructural components are simulated. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Insights into eruption dynamics from textural analysis: the case of the May, 2008, Chaitén eruption     

Fabrizio Alfano  Costanza Bonadonna  Lucia Gurioli 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2012,74(9):2095-2108

The May, 2008, Chaitén (southern Chile) eruption was characterized by several explosive events, each associated with plumes which reached up to about 19?km above sea level on May 6. A study of the textural and physical features of the juvenile clasts erupted during the climactic phase of the 2008 eruption of Chaitén is presented. Pumice clasts show unimodal density distribution (main mode at 600?kg/m³), average vesicularity of about 69?%, a glassy groundmass with no microcrystals, and vesicles with dimension between ～1?μm and ～2?mm. They also show a unimodal vesicle size distribution with most frequent vesicle size in the range 0.05–0.08?mm and an estimated vesicle number density of 1.3?±?0.5?×?10⁵?mm^?3 related to a rapid nucleation event produced during the late phases of magma rise. This is confirmed by the absence of microcrystals that could otherwise have delayed vesicle formation and allowed the magma to maintain a low viscosity and a supersaturation in volatiles. Vesiculation and fragmentation were triggered by a sudden decompression of the melt associated with the opening of the volcanic conduit (～10?MPa?s^?1).  相似文献   

High-frequency maximum observable shaking map of Italy from fault sources     

Gaetano Zonno  Roberto Basili  Fabrizio Meroni  Gemma Musacchio  P. Martin Mai  Gianluca Valensise 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2012,10(4):1075-1107

We present a strategy for obtaining fault-based maximum observable shaking (MOS) maps, which represent an innovative concept for assessing deterministic seismic ground motion at a regional scale. Our approach uses the fault sources supplied for Italy by the Database of Individual Seismogenic Sources, and particularly by its composite seismogenic sources (CSS), a spatially continuous simplified 3-D representation of a fault system. For each CSS, we consider the associated Typical Fault, i.e., the portion of the corresponding CSS that can generate the maximum credible earthquake. We then compute the high-frequency (1–50?Hz) ground shaking for a rupture model derived from its associated maximum credible earthquake. As the Typical Fault floats within its CSS to occupy all possible positions of the rupture, the high-frequency shaking is updated in the area surrounding the fault, and the maximum from that scenario is extracted and displayed on a map. The final high-frequency MOS map of Italy is then obtained by merging 8,859 individual scenario-simulations, from which the ground shaking parameters have been extracted. To explore the internal consistency of our calculations and validate the results of the procedure we compare our results (1) with predictions based on the Next Generation Attenuation ground-motion equations for an earthquake of M_w 7.1, (2) with the predictions of the official Italian seismic hazard map, and (3) with macroseismic intensities included in the DBMI04 Italian database. We then examine the uncertainties and analyse the variability of ground motion for different fault geometries and slip distributions.  相似文献   

The spectrum of the broad-line region and the high-energy emission of powerful blazars     

Fabrizio Tavecchio  Gabriele Ghisellini 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2008,386(2):945-952

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Strength and stiffness reduction factors for infilled frames with openings   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Luis D. Decanini  Laura Liberatore  Fabrizio Mollaioli 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2014,13(3):437-454

Framed structures are usually infilled with masonry walls. They may cause a significant increase in both stiffness and strength, reducing the deformation demand and increasing the energy dissipation capacity of the system. On the other hand, irregular arrangements of the masonry panels may lead to the concentration of damage in some regions, with negative effects; for example soft story mechanisms and shear failures in short columns. Therefore, the presence of infill walls should not be neglected, especially in regions of moderate and high seismicity. To this aim, simple models are available for solid infills walls, such as the diagonal no-tension strut model, while infilled frames with openings have not been adequately investigated. In this study, the effect of openings on the strength and stiffness of infilled frames is investigated by means of about 150 experimental and numerical tests. The main parameters involved are identified and a simple model to take into account the openings in the infills is developed and compared with other models proposed by different researchers. The model, which is based on the use of strength and stiffness reduction factors, takes into account the opening dimensions and presence of reinforcing elements around the opening. An example of an application of the proposed reduction factors is also presented.  相似文献   

Absolute magnitude and slope parameter G calibration of asteroid 25143 Itokawa     

Fabrizio Bernardi  Marco Micheli  David J. Tholen 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2009,44(12):1849-1852

Abstract— We present results from an observing campaign of 25143 Itokawa performed with the 2.2 m telescope of the University of Hawai'i between November 2000 and September 2001. The main goal of this paper is to determine the absolute magnitude H and the slope parameter G of the phase function with high accuracy for use in determining the geometric albedo of Itokawa. We found a value of H = 19.40 and a value of G = 0.21.  相似文献   

Centrifuge models simulating magma emplacement during oblique rifting   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Giacomo Corti  Marco Bonini  Fabrizio Innocenti  Piero Manetti  Genene Mulugeta 《Journal of Geodynamics》2001,31(5)

A series of centrifuge analogue experiments have been performed to model the mechanics of continental oblique extension (in the range of 0° to 60°) in the presence of underplated magma at the base of the continental crust. The experiments reproduced the main characteristics of oblique rifting, such as (1) en-echelon arrangement of structures, (2) mean fault trends oblique to the extension vector, (3) strain partitioning between different sets of faults and (4) fault dips higher than in purely normal faults (e.g. Tron, V., Brun, J.-P., 1991. Experiments on oblique rifting in brittle-ductile systems. Tectonophysics 188, 71–84). The model results show that the pattern of deformation is strongly controlled by the angle of obliquity (α), which determines the ratio between the shearing and stretching components of movement. For α35°, the deformation is partitioned between oblique-slip and normal faults, whereas for α45° a strain partitioning arises between oblique-slip and strike-slip faults. The experimental results show that for α35°, there is a strong coupling between deformation and the underplated magma: the presence of magma determines a strain localisation and a reduced strain partitioning; deformation, in turn, focuses magma emplacement. Magmatic chambers form in the core of lower crust domes with an oblique trend to the initial magma reservoir and, in some cases, an en-echelon arrangement. Typically, intrusions show an elongated shape with a high length/width ratio. In nature, this pattern is expected to result in magmatic and volcanic belts oblique to the rift axis and arranged en-echelon, in agreement with some selected natural examples of continental rifts (i.e. Main Ethiopian Rift) and oceanic ridges (i.e. Mohns and Reykjanes Ridges).  相似文献   

Adaptive wavelet‐based finite‐difference modelling of SH‐wave propagation     

Stéphane Operto  Jean Virieux  Bernhard Hustedt  Fabrizio Malfanti 《Geophysical Journal International》2002,148(3):476-498

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